Demand angst puts copper on course for largest drop since 2018


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London — Copper prices eased on Friday, but were heading for their first annual drop since 2018 due to worries about demand created by surging COVID cases in top consumer China, a global growth slowdown and rising inventories.

Benchmark copper on the London Metal Exchange (LME)traded down 0.2% at $8,398 a tonne in official rings. Prices of the metal used widely in the power and construction industries are on course for a 13% drop this year.

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“In the U.S., there is apprehension the Fed will push the economy into recession; in Europe, the energy crisis has put enormous strain on corporates and consumers,” said Bank of America analyst Michael Widmer.

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“In China, various issues, including rolling COVID lockdowns that had such a pronounced impact on activity earlier his year, have been a concern.”

China’s lifting of restrictions, following widespread protests, means COVID is spreading largely unchecked and likely infecting millions of people a day, according to some international health experts.

Clues to the prosect for industrial metals demand will come from surveys of purchasing managers in manufacturing companies around the world over the next few days.

Stocks of copper in LME-registered warehouses at 88,925 tonnes have climbed 7,525 tonnes since Friday. Canceled warrants – metal earmarked for delivery – at 13% of the total compares with 33% on Dec. 7.

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Rising inventories are likely to be a trend into 2023 as demand slows further and surpluses mount.

Elsewhere, the lead price was up 0.3% at $2,280 a tonne.

Prices of the battery metal hit $2,302.50 a tonne on Wednesday, the highest since May 5, on worries about supplies and dwindling stocks in LME-approved warehouses, which are near 15-year lows at 25,000 tonnes.

Canceled warrants at 49% of the total and large holdings of warrants and cash contracts suggest more lead is due to be delivered out.

In other metals, aluminum fell 0.6% to $2,391, zinc rose 0.1% to $2,989, tin fell 0.5% to $24,800 and nickel was up 0.8% at $30,500. (Reporting by Pratima Desai; additional reporting by Brijesh Patel in Bengaluru; Editing by Barbara Lewis)


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