Poor China demand prospects, strong dollar pressure copper


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LONDON — Copper prices came under pressure on Tuesday as worries about demand in top consumer China were reinforced by weak data from the country’s factories and the firmer dollar.

Benchmark copper on the London Metal Exchange traded down 2.1% at $7,700 a tonne in official rings, extending its losses to 7% since Friday when prices hit a two-month high at $8,318 a tonne. It is on course for its fifth month of consecutive losses.

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China’s manufacturing sector contracted for the second straight month in August as COVID-19 infections, the worst heatwave in decades and an embattled property sector weighed on production, suggesting the economy is struggling to sustain momentum.

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“We don’t see a big push in terms of China fostering metals demand. We expect the government in China to work towards stabilization, we don’t expect a big stimulus,” said Julius Baer analyst Carsten Menke.

“For property, it’s about avoiding a crash. On the infrastructure side there is a realization that it will be hard to move the needle because the base is already so big.”

Also weighing on industrial metals is the dollar trading near two-decade highs against other major currencies after hawkish Federal Reserve comments bolstered expectations of further aggressive hikes in U.S. interest rates.

A stronger U.S. currency makes dollar-priced metals more expensive for holders of other currencies, which could subdue demand. This relationship is used by funds to generate buy and sell signals from numerical models.

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The monthly U.S. employment report due on Friday will be watched for clues about the magnitude of U.S. interest rate rises and the prospects of recession in the United States.

Elsewhere, aluminum prices fell to six-week lows at $2,339 a tonne on expectations of rising supplies from top producer and consumer China after Sichuan province resumed power supply to industrial users.

However, traders say the power crisis in Europe could result in further curtailments in the production of energy-heavy aluminum, which would provide support.

Aluminum was down 1.5% at $2,356, zinc fell 0.8% to $3,454, lead ceded 2% to $1,948, tin dropped 2.9% to $22,975 and nickel slipped 0.3% to $21,310 a tonne.

(Reporting by Pratima Desai; editing by Kim Coghill and Tomasz Janowski)


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